Key evaluationQuestionsGroup 4

Risks and unintendedconsequences

KEQ6. Has the implementation of the actions resulted in any unintended consequences (either positive or negative)?

KEQ7. In the implementation of the Plan’s actions, what risks arose to the achievement of stated objectives/contribution to intended outcomes?

Key messages

  • Many risks reflect broader system constraints rather than issues directly attributable to the Plan or Cancer Australia

    Risks to achieving the Plan’s intended outcomes stem largely from system-level factors - particularly limited resourcing, governance complexity, and workforce and data constraints – highlighting the shared responsibilities on which implementation depends.

  • The central implementation risk is misalignment between ambition and capacity

    Stakeholders consistently expressed concern that implementation capacity and resourcing may not be sufficient to translate early system-level progress into measurable improvements in cancer care and outcomes over time.

  • Both positive and negative unintended consequences are emerging

    Unintended and intended effects are emerging, reflecting the complexity and scale of system-wide reform.

  • Positive unintended effects are more visible than negative effects at this stage

    Some positive unintended consequences — including cross-sector engagement, early signs of jurisdictional alignment, and the Plan's function as a leverage tool — have emerged with greater breadth and pace than anticipated in some areas.

  • Implementation pressures have emerged alongside these gains

    Stakeholders identified added administrative burden, uneven distribution of effort, and growing complexity arising from the expanding number of cancer-related strategies and plans - particularly for smaller organisations, priority population sectors, and less-resourced jurisdictions.

Positive and negative unintended effects

Positive effects

Negative effects

Cross-sector engagement extended beyond cancer control into mental health, disability, culturally and linguistically diverse communities, and Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander health.

Increased administrative and reporting burden for organisations already operating under capacity pressure.

Some jurisdictions reshaped, delayed or adjusted their cancer plans to align more closely with the Australian Cancer Plan.

Uneven distribution of effort, with smaller organisations, priority population sectors and less-resourced jurisdictions carrying greater implementation pressure.

Some implementation activity progressed faster than expected, including areas surfaced through national framework development.

Increased consultation demand for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander organisations and stakeholders without commensurate resourcing.

The Plan is being used as a leverage tool to strengthen funding proposals, justify priorities and support advocacy.

Growing complexity from multiple cancer-related strategies and plans, creating uncertainty about roles, priorities and where to direct effort.

Positive unintended effects show the Plan is generating broader alignment and momentum. Implementation pressures highlight the need to manage workload, resourcing and coordination as delivery scales.

Risks to achieving intended outcomes

The structural barriers identified in Implementation barriers and enablers (KEQ3) give rise to interconnected risks to achieving the Plan's intended outcomes.

The most significant risk is that system-level progress does not consistently translate into measurable improvements in patient experience and outcomes — particularly for consumers, who report limited observable change at the point of care. Variation in jurisdictional capacity, organisational resourcing, and workforce availability may result in uneven implementation, with implications for equity of access and outcomes. This is most acute for priority populations, smaller organisations, and less-resourced jurisdictions.

Stakeholders also highlighted risks to sustained engagement and delivery momentum, particularly where implementation expectations are rising in a constrained funding environment and organisations lack sufficient resources, time, or long-term funding certainty to realise intended outcomes.

We want action, but we needed to plan through that action a bit more strategically. I feel like we're sort of ticking the boxes, but I'm really interested in what's the long-term impact.
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander stakeholder in consultation
We want action, but we needed to plan through that action a bit more strategically. I feel like we're sort of ticking the boxes, but I'm really interested in what's the long-term impact.
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander stakeholder in consultation
It's a really ambitious plan — which is not a bad thing. But I do worry that we're going to evaluate ourselves at five and ten years and we won't have achieved the things that we had hoped to achieve.
Commonwealth stakeholder in consultation
There is a risk, I think, unless it's backed with more investment, it's going to be harder to achieve the aims and affect change.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
The Commonwealth is still throwing out three and four year funding cycles and not giving stability and equity in funding to populations in disadvantage where they could at least start with 10-year contracts so that people can get something done.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
You can have the best plan in the world, but without resources it won't change care.
Consumer (person affected by cancer) in consultation

Risks to achieving intended outcomes

The structural barriers identified in Implementation barriers and enablers (KEQ3) give rise to interconnected risks to achieving the Plan's intended outcomes.

The most significant risk is that system-level progress does not consistently translate into measurable improvements in patient experience and outcomes — particularly for consumers, who report limited observable change at the point of care. Variation in jurisdictional capacity, organisational resourcing, and workforce availability may result in uneven implementation, with implications for equity of access and outcomes. This is most acute for priority populations, smaller organisations, and less-resourced jurisdictions.

Stakeholders also highlighted risks to sustained engagement and delivery momentum, particularly where implementation expectations are rising in a constrained funding environment and organisations lack sufficient resources, time, or long-term funding certainty to realise intended outcomes.

We want action, but we needed to plan through that action a bit more strategically. I feel like we're sort of ticking the boxes, but I'm really interested in what's the long-term impact.
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander stakeholder in consultation
We want action, but we needed to plan through that action a bit more strategically. I feel like we're sort of ticking the boxes, but I'm really interested in what's the long-term impact.
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander stakeholder in consultation
It's a really ambitious plan — which is not a bad thing. But I do worry that we're going to evaluate ourselves at five and ten years and we won't have achieved the things that we had hoped to achieve.
Commonwealth stakeholder in consultation
There is a risk, I think, unless it's backed with more investment, it's going to be harder to achieve the aims and affect change.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
The Commonwealth is still throwing out three and four year funding cycles and not giving stability and equity in funding to populations in disadvantage where they could at least start with 10-year contracts so that people can get something done.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
You can have the best plan in the world, but without resources it won't change care.
Consumer (person affected by cancer) in consultation

Unintended consequences

Positive unintended effects show the Plan is generating broader alignment and momentum. Implementation pressures highlight the need to manage workload, resourcing and coordination as delivery scales.

As detailed in Implementation barriers and enablers (KEQ3), the Plan has generated several positive effects, many of which align with its intended outcomes. In addition to these intended effects, stakeholders identified unintended positive effects, including instances where the scale, breadth, and pace of change extended further or moved faster than anticipated.

This included engagement and partnership activity extending beyond the cancer sector into mental health, disability, and CALD communities, as well as jurisdictions reshaping or delaying their own cancer plans to align more closely with the Plan than originally anticipated. Some implementation activity also progressed more quickly than expected. The Plan has also functioned as an influential leverage tool, with organisations drawing on it to strengthen funding proposals, justify priorities and support advocacy in ways that extend beyond formal implementation mechanisms.

There are some things in the [data] framework that are moving much faster than I expected them to — and I think that is partially because they were surfaced up through the framework discussions.
Commonwealth stakeholder in consultation
There are some things in the [data] framework that are moving much faster than I expected them to — and I think that is partially because they were surfaced up through the framework discussions.
Commonwealth stakeholder in consultation
I wonder if we would have gotten our act together as quickly on priority populations without the leadership of the Plan.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
The style of plan we've traditionally written will alter quite significantly now that we have an Australian Cancer Plan to align to.
Jurisdictional stakeholder in consultation
When we've got business cases and things coming in from the sector being put up to state government, if we're putting in a budget bid, we will automatically align it to the Australian Cancer Plan — and we encourage our stakeholders to do that as well.
Jurisdictional stakeholder in consultation

Positive effects

As detailed in Implementation barriers and enablers (KEQ3), the Plan has generated several positive effects, many of which align with its intended outcomes. In addition to these intended effects, stakeholders identified unintended positive effects, including instances where the scale, breadth, and pace of change extended further or moved faster than anticipated.

This included engagement and partnership activity extending beyond the cancer sector into mental health, disability, and CALD communities, as well as jurisdictions reshaping or delaying their own cancer plans to align more closely with the Plan than originally anticipated. Some implementation activity also progressed more quickly than expected. The Plan has also functioned as an influential leverage tool, with organisations drawing on it to strengthen funding proposals, justify priorities and support advocacy in ways that extend beyond formal implementation mechanisms.

There are some things in the [data] framework that are moving much faster than I expected them to — and I think that is partially because they were surfaced up through the framework discussions.
Commonwealth stakeholder in consultation
There are some things in the [data] framework that are moving much faster than I expected them to — and I think that is partially because they were surfaced up through the framework discussions.
Commonwealth stakeholder in consultation
I wonder if we would have gotten our act together as quickly on priority populations without the leadership of the Plan.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
The style of plan we've traditionally written will alter quite significantly now that we have an Australian Cancer Plan to align to.
Jurisdictional stakeholder in consultation
When we've got business cases and things coming in from the sector being put up to state government, if we're putting in a budget bid, we will automatically align it to the Australian Cancer Plan — and we encourage our stakeholders to do that as well.
Jurisdictional stakeholder in consultation

Negative effects

Stakeholders reported several unintended negative effects associated with the Plan’s implementation. Increased administrative and reporting burden has added to the workload of organisations, some already operating under capacity pressure. This burden has been experienced unevenly, with smaller organisations and priority population sectors — particularly Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander organisations — reporting high levels of engagement and consultation demand without commensurate resourcing.

Increased attention to some priority areas or initiatives may unintentionally reduce focus on others, while the growing number of cancer-related strategies and plans has contributed to confusion about roles, priorities, and where to direct effort.

I'm not sure that was fully appreciated at the beginning — the intention to have everybody interacting and working with First Nations health groups and professionals — that it's a tiny, tiny sector and there's so much burden. I would say that is maybe one of the unintended consequences.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
I'm not sure that was fully appreciated at the beginning — the intention to have everybody interacting and working with First Nations health groups and professionals — that it's a tiny, tiny sector and there's so much burden. I would say that is maybe one of the unintended consequences.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation
A program rolled out to ACCHOs to help mainstream services become culturally aware... we certainly had many ACCHOs come to us saying it created a bit of a burden to start with.
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander sector stakeholder
We are experiencing a few [organisations] wanting to come to the party now. They've seen this funding become available and now they want to have those yarns with [peak Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander organisations], but there wasn’t a pre-existing relationship prior to this funding. We’ve been having some real hard yarns with some of the mob to reinforce their values and ensure there is a continuation of care for our mob.
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander sector stakeholder
We do have to think about different people's capacities moving forward. How much more can people keep doing?
Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander sector stakeholder
It has been quite a significant workload that wasn't built into our organisations when the plan was released.
Cancer sector stakeholder in consultation